Author: Jamie Carpenter

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) reached a record high last week as new inflation data signaled optimism about the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose more than 2.5%, while the S&P 500 gained just under 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) increased by about 0.5%. Economic Outlook and Federal Reserve Minutes Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes, which will provide insights into future rate decisions. Analysts expect “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation to decrease to 2.6% in January, down from 2.8% in December. This supports expectations of one or two Fed…

Airbnb shares soared 14% following a stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings report, marking their best trading day ever. Since debuting on the Nasdaq in December 2020, the company has seen its sharpest rally since February 2023, with shares up 22% year-to-date. Q4 Financial Performance The online rental platform reported earnings of 73 cents per share on $2.48 billion in revenue, surpassing analyst estimates of 58 cents per share and $2.42 billion in revenue, according to LSEG. Revenue increased by 12% compared to the previous year. “Airbnb is a fundamentally stronger company today than it was several years ago,” the company stated in…

A Promising Deal Falls Apart The long-rumored Honda-Nissan-Mitsubishi merger that could have created a Japanese auto superpower has officially collapsed. Honda confirmed today that merger discussions have ended, dashing hopes of a joint effort to compete against the rising dominance of Chinese car manufacturers. Why the Deal Broke Down While Mitsubishi had already exited the talks in early February, optimism remained that Honda and Nissan would continue working towards a major consolidation. However, the negotiations hit an impasse when Honda reportedly shifted its stance, pushing to become a majority shareholder rather than an equal partner. Nissan, unwilling to become a…

Inflation Surges in January U.S. consumer prices saw their biggest jump in nearly a year and a half, with the latest data showing significant increases in housing and food costs. According to the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.5% in January, marking the largest gain since August 2023. The unexpected rise in inflation puts pressure on the Federal Reserve, which has signaled it is in no hurry to cut interest rates. This also complicates President Donald Trump’s economic strategy, particularly as his administration pushes for aggressive tariffs that could further raise…

British oil major BP (BP) reported a sharp decline in fourth-quarter profits due to weaker refining margins but announced a $1.75 billion share buyback and plans to “fundamentally reset” its strategy. Q4 Financial Performance BP attributed the decline in profits to weaker refining margins, higher turnaround activity, and lower fuel margins. The company’s gas & low-carbon energy division posted a 15% annual drop in RC profit to $1.84 billion, despite improving from $1 billion in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, oil production and operations surged 37% year-over-year. BP’s Outlook and Strategy Reset In Q1 guidance, BP expects lower upstream production due…

China’s consumer inflation accelerated in January to its fastest pace in five months, while factory prices remained in deflation, highlighting a fragile economic recovery. The mixed data reflects weak consumer spending and sluggish industrial demand, with U.S. tariffs adding pressure on Beijing to stimulate growth. Consumer Prices Show Modest Gains Despite the uptick, inflation remains well below China’s official 3% target, marking the 13th consecutive year of missed inflation goals. Deflationary Pressures Persist in Manufacturing “It will take a few quarters to get out of deflation,” said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. Weak Consumer Spending Amid…

Americans are growing increasingly worried about inflation in the near term as President Donald Trump’s new tariffs stir concerns about rising prices, according to the latest University of Michigan consumer survey released Friday. Inflation Expectations Jump Survey respondents now expect inflation to hit 4.3% within the next year—a full 1 percentage point jump from January and the highest level since November 2023. This marks only the fifth time in 14 years that year-ahead inflation expectations have increased by at least one percentage point in a single month. “Many consumers appear worried that high inflation will return within the next year,”…

Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger are at the center of rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China. Their parent company, PVH, has been placed on China’s “unreliable entities list”, a blacklist targeting foreign firms. The move comes in retaliation for President Donald Trump’s new 10% tariffs on Chinese imports. Why China Targeted PVH The Chinese Ministry of Finance accused PVH of interfering with Chinese businesses but did not provide specific details. The decision was part of a broader package of economic countermeasures against the U.S., which also included blacklisting biotech firm Illumina. Being on China’s blacklist could mean: “Going…

Fox Corporation is making its long-awaited move into the direct-to-consumer streaming business. The company announced on Tuesday that it plans to launch a new subscription-based streaming service by the end of the year, expanding its reach beyond traditional cable. A Streaming Expansion Without Disrupting the Bundle Unlike other media companies pivoting heavily into streaming, Fox is not looking to disrupt its presence in the traditional TV bundle. CEO Lachlan Murdoch emphasized during the company’s earnings call that the service is designed to complement, rather than replace, its existing cable offerings. “We’re huge supporters of the traditional cable bundle, and we…

Tesla (TSLA) pledged a return to growth in 2025 after reporting disappointing Q4 2024 results, capping off a year with 1% revenue growth and a sharp decline in profits. On the earnings call, CEO Elon Musk announced that unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) will launch in Austin, Texas, in June, with a nationwide rollout by the end of 2025. Shares of Tesla jumped nearly 4% in early trading Thursday as investors focused on the company’s future outlook despite the weak quarter. Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates For the fourth quarter, Tesla reported revenue of $25.7 billion, missing Wall Street expectations of $27.2…